Vivek Ramaswamy / Wikimedia commons
Ohio Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy’s probability of securing the party’s nomination has risen to 97.6 percent, according to a recent report, signaling a commanding lead ahead of the May 5 primary.
In a post on X, Kalshi Politics, a prediction market, said, “NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Vivek Ramaswamy has a 97.6 percent chance of being the Ohio Republican governor nominee.”
Also Read: Ramaswamy raises $30M in Ohio governor race
The report shows Ramaswamy far ahead of other contenders, with Casey Putsch at 1.9 percent and Dave Yost at 0.3 percent. Trading volume on the contract stood at $724,501.
A chart published alongside the data indicates his odds have steadily climbed in recent sessions, with a brief dip followed by a sharp recovery to current levels.
His campaign has also been marked by significant fundraising and spending, including a $10 million advertising push ahead of the primary, signaling a shift toward the general election phase. The latest figures put total fundraising at over $50 million, with more than $30 million cash on hand.
Ramaswamy, a former 2024 Republican presidential candidate, entered the Ohio governor’s race in February 2025 and quickly consolidated support within the party. He secured an early endorsement from President Donald Trump on the day of his campaign launch, followed by backing from the Ohio Republican Party.
He has since added support from local and issue-based groups, including the Cleveland Police Patrolmen’s Association and the Buckeye Firearms Association.
The 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election is scheduled for Nov. 3. Incumbent Governor Mike DeWine is term-limited, leaving the race open.
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