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Nithya Raman’s chances in LA mayor’s race tumble to 14%: Poll
Raman has secured backing from advocacy groups including Indian American Impact and Streets For All.
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Jeffin T. Kaleekal - Tue, 12, May 2026
- 04:00 EDT
- 91
LA Council Member Nithya Raman / Wikimedia commons
Los Angeles mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman’s electoral prospects seem to be taking a nosedive, reaching their lowest level so far, 14 percent, on May 11, according to data from prediction market platform Kalshi.
Raman, who stands at 14 percent, polled significantly below key rivals fellow Democrat Karen Bass, at 52 percent, and Republican Spencer Pratt, at 34 percent.
The results came as a shock after Kalshi had placed Raman’s prospects at a whopping 64 percent just weeks ago. Bass was at 23 percent and media personality Pratt was at 19 percent, highlighting how quickly prediction markets change.
Kerala-born Raman is currently a Los Angeles City Council member. Her February nomination, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, the same group that achieved a major win last fall by helping elect Zohran Mamdani as New York City mayor, centers around a socialist platform featuring promises on housing, price controls and environmental efforts.
ALSO READ: IA Impact endorses Nithya Raman for LA mayor
Raman is an urban planner by training and also a homelessness activist. She became the first woman sworn in to the LA City Council in 2022. She holds undergraduate and graduate degrees in urban planning from Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Raman has secured backing from advocacy groups including Indian American Impact and Streets For All. Her political rise has also been supported by progressive networks and volunteer-driven organizing.
Raman was a close aide and supporter of incumbent Mayor Bass. However, Raman has attacked Bass’ policies on multiple fronts since announcing her candidacy. She criticized the existing homelessness strategies, including Bass’ “Inside Safe” program, calling for changes in spending and approach.
She has also decried the sitting mayor’s positions and policies on housing, cost of living and crime, among others.
The Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2. If no candidate secures a majority, a runoff will take place on Nov. 3.
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