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From strategic altruism to strain: Trump’s gamble on India

The deterioration contrasts sharply with the Biden years, when disagreements were managed quietly.

Ashley J. Tellis, the Tata Chair for Strategic Affairs at the Carnegie Endowment, / Courtesy of Lalit K Jha

For a quarter century, Washington bet big on India—anchoring U.S. policy in a vision of shared values, converging interests, and a counterweight to China. That optimism has frayed under President Trump, whose tariffs on Indian exports and oil purchases have jolted the relationship into its sharpest crisis since the 1998 nuclear sanctions, a well-known American strategic thinker has said.

"The most parsimonious explanation is to look at the interaction of structure and individual decision-making," said Ashley J. Tellis, the Tata Chair for Strategic Affairs at the Carnegie Endowment, in a recent podcast ", Grand Tamasha" of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

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