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Mamdani holds lead in NYC mayoral race, new poll shows

The survey finds Mamdani at 50 percent in the five-way race. 

Zohran Mamdani won the New York City Democratic mayoral primary on June 24, 2025 / Vincent Alban/Pool via REUTERS

New York City mayoral candidate and Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani is leading the general election race by a significant margin, securing support from more than half of likely voters, according to a recent poll.

The survey, conducted by Public Progress Solutions and Zenith Research from July 16–24 among 1,453 registered voters—including 1,021 who identified as “absolutely certain” to cast a ballot—finds Mamdani at 50 percent in the five-way race. 

Also Read: NYAGS opposes Mamdani’s proposal for govt-run grocery stores

Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, now running as an independent, trails with 22 percent; Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa garners 13 percent; incumbent Mayor Eric Adams stands at 7 percent; and attorney Jim Walden holds 1 percent. Six percent of likely voters remain undecided.

In direct matchups, Mamdani maintains commanding leads: 52–40 against Cuomo and 59–32 against Adams among likely voters. Even when all registered voters are considered, he holds 42 percent to Cuomo’s 26 percent in a five-way scenario.

Meanwhile, 60 percent say they would not consider voting for Cuomo, 68 percent would rule out Adams, but just 32 percent would dismiss Mamdani as an option.

The poll also highlights deep voter dissatisfaction: 70 percent of likely voters say they are unhappy with the city’s direction. Cost-of-living concerns—housing, groceries, utilities—and crime topped the list of priorities.
 

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